Japan Warns: 82% Chance of Catastrophic Megaquake in the Next 30 Years

A Japanese government panel has slightly increased its forecast for the likelihood of a “megaquake” occurring along the Nankai Trough, now estimating a probability of 75 to 82 percent over the next 30 years. This earthquake, potentially reaching a magnitude of 8 to 9, could trigger catastrophic tsunamis, resulting in hundreds of thousands of fatalities and causing significant economic damage. The Earthquake Research Committee's update marks a modest revision from its previous estimate, which ranged between 74 and 81 percent.

...