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UFC 310 predictions: Can Kai Asakura upset champ Alexandre Pantoja in debut?

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The UFC wraps up its pay-per-view calendar for 2024 this week with the flyweight title on the line at the top of the bill.

UFC 310 (pay-per-view, ESPN2, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Dooho Choi vs. Nate Landwehr

Nate Landwehr vs. Dooho Choi

Records: Choi (15-4-1 MMA, 4-3-1 UFC), Landwehr (18-5 MMA, 5-3 UFC)
Past five: Choi 1-3-1, Landwehr 4-1
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 12.07.24): Choi +110, Landwehr -130
Junkie pick results: Choi 6, Landwehr 5

Kron Gracie vs. Bryce Mitchell

Bryce Mitchell vs. Kron Gracie

Records: Gracie (5-2 MMA, 1-2 UFC), Mitchell (16-3 MMA, 7-2 UFC)
Past five: Gracie 3-2, Mitchell 3-2
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: Mitchell No. 11
Odds (as of 12.07.24): Gracie +600, Mitchell -900
Junkie pick results: Mitchell 10, Gracie 1

Ciryl Gane vs. Alexander Volkov

Ciryl Gane vs. Alexander Volkov

Records: Gane (12-2 MMA, 9-2 UFC), Volkov (38-10 MMA, 6-3 UFC)
Past five: Gane 3-2, Volkov 4-1
Division: Heavyweight
Rankings: Gane No. 4, Volkov No. 5
Odds (as of 12.07.24): Gane -380, Volkov +300
Junkie pick results: Gane 8, Volkov 3

Ian Machado Garry vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry

Records: Machado Garry (15-0 MMA, 8-0 UFC), Rakhmonov (18-0 MMA, 6-0 UFC)
Past five: Machado Garry 5-0, Rakhmonov 5-0
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: Rakhmonov No. 4, Machado Garry No. 9
Odds (as of 12.07.24): Machado Garry +285, Rakhmonov -360
Junkie pick results: Rakhmonov 8, Garry 3

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura

Records: Pantoja (28-5 MMA, 12-3 UFC), Asakura (21-4 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
Past five: Pantoja 5-0, Asakura 4-1
Division: Flyweight
Rankings: Pantoja No. 1, No. 10 pound-for-pound
Odds (as of 12.07.24): Pantoja -265, Asakura +215
Junkie pick results: Pantoja 9, Asakura 2

Preliminary card picks

Chris Weidman vs. Eryk Anders

Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Lukasz Brzeski vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu: Nzechukwu 11, Brzeski 0
  • Clay Guida vs. Chase Hooper: Hooper 8, Guida 3
  • Michael Chiesa vs. Max Griffin: Griffin 8, Chiesa 3
  • Cody Durden vs. Joshua Van: Van 10, Durden 1
  • Eryk Anders vs. Chris Weidman: Weidman 6, Anders 5
  • Bryan Battle vs. Randy Brown: Brown 7, Battle 4
  • Movsar Evloev vs. Aljamain Sterling: Evloev 6, Sterling 5
  • Themba Gorimbo vs. Vicente Luque: Gorimbo 8, Luque 3
  • Dominick Reyes vs. Anthony Smith: Reyes 7, Smith 4

Check out all the main card picks below.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Pantoja
vs.
Asakura
Garry
vs.
Rakhmonov
Gane
vs.
Volkov
Gracie
vs.
Mitchell
Choi
vs.
Landwehr
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
200-105

Pantoja

Rakhmonov

Gane

Mitchell

Landwehr
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
195-110
2014 Champion

Pantoja

Garry

Volkov

Mitchell

Choi
Matt Erickson
@MattE
189-116

Pantoja

Rakhmonov

Gane

Gracie

Choi
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
185-120

Pantoja

Garry

Gane

Mitchell

Choi
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
181-124
2017 Champion

Pantoja

Rakhmonov

Volkov

Mitchell

Landwehr
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
169-136

Pantoja

Rakhmonov

Gane

Mitchell

Landwehr

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 310.