Pundit predictions for 2024 elections: Who will win?
Every election cycle The Hill asks people who they think will win the races for the White House, House and Senate.
Here are this year’s predictions for what looks like it could be one of the closest presidential races in history.
Mick Mulvaney, former congressman, former White House chief of staff and NewsNation contributor
Who will win the White House? Trump
How many electoral votes will he/she get? 281
Who will win North Carolina? Harris
Who will win Pennsylvania? Trump
Who will win Georgia? Trump
Who will win Arizona? Trump
Which party will win the House? Democrats
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 11
Which party will win the Senate? Republicans
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 3
Who will win Senate race in Michigan? Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)
Who will win Senate race in Ohio? Bernie Moreno (R)
Who will win Senate race in Pennsylvania? Dave McCormick (R)
Who will win Senate race in Wisconsin? Eric Hovde (R)
Analysis/takeaways: It’s over already? Seems like it just started. Now, who’s ready for 2028?
Bill Press, columnist for The Hill and host of “The Bill Press Pod”
Who will win the White House? Harris
How many electoral votes will he/she get? 313
Who will win North Carolina? Trump
Who will win Pennsylvania? Harris
Who will win Georgia? Harris
Who will win Arizona? Harris
Which party will win the House? Democrats
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 5
Which party will win the Senate? Republicans
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 2
Who will win Senate race in Michigan? Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)
Who will win Senate race in Ohio? Sen. Sherrod Brown (D)
Who will win Senate race in Pennsylvania? Sen. Bob Casey (D)
Who will win Senate race in Wisconsin? Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D)
Analysis/takeaways: Trump stalled and lost the election in the last two weeks. Harris gets narrow win, thanks to overwhelming women’s vote and votes cast by disaffected Republicans.
Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform
Who will win the White House? Trump
How many electoral votes will he/she get? 281
Who will win North Carolina? Trump
Who will win Pennsylvania? Trump
Who will win Georgia? Trump
Who will win Arizona? Trump
Which party will win the House? Republicans
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 4
Which party will win the Senate? Republicans
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 4
Who will win Senate race in Michigan? Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)
Who will win Senate race in Ohio? Bernie Moreno (R)
Who will win Senate race in Pennsylvania? Dave McCormick (R)
Who will win Senate race in Wisconsin? Eric Hovde (R)
Analysis/takeaways: Voters noticed the Biden spending spree and tax increases gave us inflation and lower growth. Voters remembered the Trump economy driven by lower taxes, less regulation. The future? Watch the red states: 10 are phasing their income tax to zero, 10 have passed universal school choice. Unified party focused on liberty, economic growth and parental rights.
Richard Fowler, Democratic strategist and Fox News contributor
Who will win the White House? Harris
How many electoral votes will he/she get? 292
Who will win North Carolina? Harris
Who will win Pennsylvania? Harris
Who will win Georgia? Trump
Who will win Arizona? Trump
Which party will win the House? Democrats
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 8
Which party will win the Senate? Republicans
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 2
Who will win Senate race in Michigan? Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)
Who will win Senate race in Ohio? Sen. Sherrod Brown (D)
Who will win Senate race in Pennsylvania? Sen. Bob Casey (D)
Who will win Senate race in Wisconsin? Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D)
Analysis/takeaways: There was a lot of talk of Trump taking a historic share of Black men; this election will likely prove that not to be true. This race comes down to how women show up at the polls.
Armstrong Williams, host of “The Armstrong Williams Show”
Who will win the White House? Trump
How many electoral votes will he/she get? 285
Who will win North Carolina? Trump
Who will win Pennsylvania? Trump
Who will win Georgia? Trump
Who will win Arizona? Trump
Which party will win the House? Democrats
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 14
Which party will win the Senate? Republicans
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 3
Who will win Senate race in Michigan? Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)
Who will win Senate race in Ohio? Bernie Moreno (R)
Who will win Senate race in Pennsylvania? Dave McCormick (R)
Who will win Senate race in Wisconsin? Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D)
Analysis/takeaways: Trump clearly surged at the end, and his ground game will be the difference. Harris was a relative unknown and the economy hurt her.
Maria Cardona, head of Dewey Square Group's public affairs practice and Democratic strategist
Who will win the White House? Harris
How many electoral votes will he/she get? 321
Who will win North Carolina? Harris
Who will win Pennsylvania? Harris
Who will win Georgia? Harris
Who will win Arizona? Harris
Which party will win the House? Democrats
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? 9
Which party will win the Senate? Democrats
How many seats will Dems/GOP pick up? Democrats will have 50 seats
Who will win Senate race in Michigan? Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)
Who will win Senate race in Ohio? Sen. Sherrod Brown (D)
Who will win Senate race in Pennsylvania? Sen. Bob Casey (D)
Who will win Senate race in Wisconsin? Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D)
Analysis/takeaways: There is an underlying unmeasured, underestimated energy among women, young voters, especially young voters of color, Latinos, Black voters and AAPI voters about how they have had it with the drama, the crazy, the chaos, the ugliness, and the unhinged nature of Trump and MAGA.