Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: ‘The Room Next Door’ breaks into Top 5 for Best Adapted Screenplay [Updated September 30]
If the 2025 Oscars nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Since our predictions center officially opened on July 1, 2024, more than 4,200 people have made their forecasts in the categories for picture, directing, acting, writing and animation. So who’s out front to claim these golden trophies, according to the Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025?
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 97th Academy Awards, updated on September 30, 2024. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Oscar snapshots on July 3, July 9, July 16, July 23, July 29, August 6, August 19, August 28, September 11, September 19 and September 23.
Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: Denis Villeneuve in Best Director for the epic sequel “Dune: Part Two,” and Pedro Almodóvar in Best Adapted Screenplay for the life-affirming drama “The Room Next Door.”
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Gold Derby’s Academy Awards odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Oscar predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners.
BEST PICTURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 8/1
2. “Conclave” — 9/1
3. “Emilia Perez” — 9/1
4. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/2
5. “Sing Sing” — 10/1
6. “Blitz” — 10/1
7. “The Brutalist” — 21/2
8. “Nickel Boys” — 16/1
9. “Gladiator II” — 20/1
10. “A Complete Unknown” — 33/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Piano Lesson,” “A Real Pain,” “September 5,” “The Room Next Door,” “Saturday Night,” “Joker: Folie à Deux,” “Wicked”
See more Best Picture contenders …
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Sean Baker (“Anora”) — 4/1
2. Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Perez”) — 6/1
3. Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”) — 6/1
4. Steve McQueen (“Blitz”) — 7/1
5. Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Part Two”) — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
Edward Berger (“Conclave”), Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”), Greg Kwedar (“Sing Sing”), Pedro Almodovar (“The Room Next Door”)
See more Best Director contenders …
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Mikey Madison (“Anora”) — 4/1
2. Karla Sofia Gascon (“Emilia Perez”) — 5/1
3. Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) — 6/1
4. Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”) — 9/1
5. Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”), Tilda Swinton (“The Room Next Door”), Demi Moore (“The Substance”), June Squibb (“Thelma”)
See more Best Actress contenders …
BEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”) — 4/1
2. Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”) — 4/1
3. Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) — 5/1
4. Timothee Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”) — 6/1
5. Daniel Craig (“Queer”) — 15/2
Predicted Spoilers
John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”), Joaquin Phoenix (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Sebastian Stan (“The Apprentice”), Paul Mescal (“Gladiator II”), Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”)
See more Best Actor contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”) — 4/1
2. Zoe Saldana (“Emilia Perez”) — 4/1
3. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Nickel Boys”) — 15/2
4. Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”) — 17/2
5. Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Saoirse Ronan (“Blitz”), Selena Gomez (“Emilia Perez”), Lady Gaga (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Joan Chen (“Didi”), Natasha Lyonne (“His Three Daughters”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) — 9/2
2. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) — 5/1
3. Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”) — 6/1
4. Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”) — 7/1
5. Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”), Edward Norton (“A Complete Unknown”), John Lithgow (“Conclave”), Mark Eydelshteyn (“Anora”), Harris Dickinson (“Blitz”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Sing Sing” — 4/1
2. “Conclave” — 4/1
3. “Nickel Boys” — 6/1
4. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/2
5. “The Room Next Door” — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Piano Lesson,” “Emilia Perez,” “Nightbitch,” “Queer,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Adapted Screenplay contenders …
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 18/5
2. “Blitz” — 11/2
3. “A Real Pain” — 6/1
4. “The Brutalist” — 6/1
5. “Saturday Night” — 9/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Hard Truths,” “September 5,” “The Substance,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “Challengers”
See more Best Original Screenplay contenders …
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Wild Robot” — 69/20
2. “Inside Out 2” — 39/10
3. “Memoir of a Snail” — 9/2
4. “Flow” — 6/1
5. “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Moana 2,” “Piece by Piece,” “Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim,” “Transformers One,” “Despicable Me 4”
See more Best Animated Feature contenders …
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