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Сентябрь
2024

Does the change in StockRank matter to SuperStock performance?

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When I wrote an article looking at when to sell SuperStocks, I controversially suggested that investors may want to ignore SuperStocks that have remained SuperStocks for an extended period. Rather than being undervalued stocks that are ripe for a re-rating, they are instead likely to have features that the algorithms like but investors won’t. This led to an interesting debate in the comments as to whether stocks that have risen recently to become SuperStocks should be favoured over those that have been SuperStocks for some time. I now have the data to investigate this hypothesis further.

The data-heads at Stockopedia have given me the list of all SuperStocks for each year, plus their subsequent 1-year price return. Due to a quirk in how the database is structured, the team have only been able to provide me with the StockRank 1 year and six months prior for SuperStocks in 2016, 2017, 2021, 2022, and 2023. (StockRanks tend to change relatively slowly and the changes are often driven by results, hence choosing the StockRank change over one year, and six months, for this study.) Despite the limited number of years of data, I have been able to draw some meaningful conclusions. But first, let...