Little waves and windy
Hello Friends,
The grey skies are with us again and the wind has been blowing NNW since around 0100, as of 0730 it was 11-17 kts. Out at sea, the MHL buoy was detecting 1.1 metres of 13.3 second SSE swell. As the pictures indicate, that wasn’t enough to make the point work, but there were little things in the waist to maybe chest high range up toward the pole and the lagoon. Surface conditions were clean too. The GFS model and the Bureau’s forecasts are both indicating a brief spike into the overhead range at south magnets tomorrow morning, but they’ll be accompanied by stiff S-SE wind and a 95% chance of rain… Friday doesn’t look any better really, but maybe Saturday morning we’ll have some remnant swell and ok winds for the early – maybe. The picture is pretty complicated on the charts, so I’m hoping the Goat may be able to shed a little light on the situation for us when he drops his week-ahead forecast tomorrow.
Have a great Wednesday!
Weather Situation
A large high pressure over the Tasman Sea is directing northerly winds along the coast. A cold front is forecast to enter southern coastal waters in the early afternoon and reaching the Illawarra in the late evening. This front will bring a strong and gusty southerly wind change in its wake. The front will continue to move north along the north coast on Thursday and may deepen to a coastal low off the north coast on Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
- Winds
- Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly below 10 knots in the evening.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre.
- 2nd Swell
- Northeasterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to around 1 metre offshore.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Thursday 26 September
Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 35 knots in the late morning and early afternoon.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 2 metres by early evening.
- 2nd Swell
- Northeasterly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 95% chance of rain.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 27 September
- Winds
- Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots, easing to 20 to 25 knots during the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
- Seas
- 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
- 2nd Swell
- Southeasterly below 0.5 metres, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.