2024 Emmy Predictions: Best Drama Supporting Actress
Less than a year after losing to Jennifer Coolidge (“The White Lotus”) on her first Emmy bid for “The Crown,” Elizabeth Debicki is heavily favored to win Best Drama Supporting Actress now that the reigning champion is out of contention. Since none of her competitors have previously been nominated for their current roles, the recent Critics Choice, Golden Globe, and SAG Award winner shouldn’t have much trouble capping off her farewell run for this series with an Emmy.
In addition to facing a direct challenge from “The Crown” actress Lesley Manville, Debicki is up against four women from “The Morning Show,” including veteran victor Holland Taylor (“The Practice,” 1999). Rounding out the lineup is Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”), who was recognized here six times in the 2010s for “The Good Wife.”
In order to determine whether anyone can block Debicki’s likely triumph, let’s take a closer look at each nominee. Be sure to make your predictions in this and 24 other Primetime Emmy categories by September 15.
Christine Baranski as Agnes van Rhijn (“The Gilded Age”)
Episode: “In Terms of Winning and Losing”
Now on her 16th general Emmy nomination, Baranski is just one step away from tying Tyne Daly’s record for most bids in this category. The former Best Comedy Supporting Actress winner for “Cybill” (1995) has submitted the second season finale of “The Gilded Age,” in which her New York City socialite character experiences changes in her relationships with her sister and niece as they all reluctantly prepare to sell their house.
Nicole Beharie as Christina Hunter (“The Morning Show”)
Episode: “White Noise”
Prior to joining this series’ cast in its third season, Beharie was best known to small screen audiences as the star of the mid-2010s Fox drama “Sleepy Hollow.” In her chosen episode, morning show co-host Christina assuages her feelings of anger toward network board member Cybil Reynolds (Taylor) by exposing the latter’s racial insensitivity in a televised interview.
Elizabeth Debicki as Princess Diana (“The Crown”)
Episode: “Dis-Moi Oui”
The youngest contender in this bunch inherited her biographical role from 2021 lead nominee Emma Corrin, who is five years her junior. “Dis-Moi Oui” brings the character’s three-season arc to an end by focusing on the events that immediately led to the untimely deaths of Diana and her romantic partner, Dodi Fayed (Khalid Abdalla).
Greta Lee as Stella Bak (“The Morning Show”)
Episode: “The Green Light”
“Girls” and “Russian Doll” alum Lee has now played ambitious network news president Stella for two full seasons. In the wake of the collapse of a merger involving her company, the character spends her time in “The Green Light” attempting to justify the trust placed in her by CEO Cory Ellison (Billy Crudup) by working hard to secure an advertising deal.
Lesley Manville as Princess Margaret (“The Crown”)
Episode: “Ritz”
The antepenultimate installment of “The Crown” wraps up the story of Queen Elizabeth II’s (Imelda Staunton) only sibling, whose final decade of life was depicted by Manville over the course of two seasons. The role was first inhabited by 2018 nominee Vanessa Kirby, who directly passed it onto 2020-2021 contender Helena Bonham Carter.
Karen Pittman as Mia Jordan (“The Morning Show”)
Episode: “Love Island”
Pittman stands out as the only “Morning Show” nominee in this group who has been part of the cast since season one. In her submitted episode, which flashes back to 2020, TV producer Mia ends up driving her boyfriend, Andre (Clive Standen), away as she experiences a mental health crisis during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Holland Taylor as Cybil Richards (“The Morning Show”)
Episode: “White Noise”
Taylor and Beharie were immediately preceded in their decision to submit the same episode by two pairs of featured female nominees from “The White Lotus.” Before she began playing Cybil in 2021, Taylor had amassed eight bids across four acting categories, including a post-win one for “The Practice” and four for her comedic supporting role on “Two and a Half Men.”
So, who will win the 2024 Emmy for Best Drama Supporting Actress? Although Coolidge just proved it possible to triumph in this category over four of one’s castmates, the “Morning Show” quartet will probably meet the same fate as the ones from “Game of Thrones” and “The Handmaid’s Tale” who were collectively defeated in 2019 and 2021 by Julia Garner (“Ozark”) and Gillian Anderson (“The Crown”). In truth, any of them breaking away from the group in terms of votes would be shocking at this point.
Assuming Debicki was close to prevailing last year, she should fare nicely this time since there are no recent winners in the mix and the sixth season of her show was better received by the TV academy than its fifth. Since this Emmys season began, she has maintained the support of a vast majority of the Gold Derby users predicting this race, most of whom surely recognize that her precursor run practically guarantees her success here.
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