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Phillies 2024 playoff picture, magic number tracker

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Phillies Nation 
Bryce Harper celebrates the Phillies’ 2023 NLDS win over the Atlanta Braves. (Photo by Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Updated following all relevant results on Sept. 7, 2024.

The Phillies are getting closer to winning their first National League East title since 2011.

In addition to winning the division, the Phillies would like to finish with one of the two best records among National League division winners to skip the wild card round and start the postseason with home-field advantage in the Division Series. Ideally, the Phillies would like to finish with the best record in the majors to secure home field advantage for the entirety of the postseason.

The Phillies, at 85-57 and 20 games left, have a seven-game lead over the New York Mets in the National League East. They are tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for the best record in MLB. The Phillies have the tiebreaker for winning the season series. The Phillies also have a three-game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers for a first-round bye.

Remaining Schedule

  • 1 @ MIA
  • 3 vs. TB
  • 3 vs. NYM
  • 3 @ MIL
  • 4 @ NYM
  • 3 vs. CHC
  • 3 @ WSH

Relevant Phillies Tiebreakers

The first tiebreaker in MLB is head-to-head record. The second is record within the division and the third is record against other National League teams not in the same division.

  • The Phillies’ record against NL East teams is 25-16.
  • The Phillies have won the tiebreaker over the Los Angeles Dodgers (5-1).
  • The Phillies have lost the tiebreaker over the Atlanta Braves (6-7).
  • The Phillies lead the Milwaukee Brewers in the season series 3-0 with three head-to-head games left to play.
  • The Phillies lead the New York Mets in the season series 4-2 with seven head-to-head games left to play.
  • The Phillies have won the tiebreaker over the San Diego Padres (5-1).
  • The Phillies have lost the tiebreaker over the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-4).

Other Relevant National League Tiebreakers

  • The Braves and Mets are tied 5-5 in the season series with three head-to-head games left to play.
  • The Padres and Diamondbacks are tied 5-5 in the season series with three head-to-head games left to play.
  • The Braves have the tiebreaker against the Diamondbacks, but not against the Padres.
  • The Mets have the tiebreaker over the Diamondbacks and Padres.
  • The Brewers lost the tiebreaker to the Dodgers 3-4. If the Phillies win one more game against the Brewers this season and the Phillies, Brewers and Dodgers all win their respective divisions, but finish with the same record, the Phillies would be the No. 1 seed in the National League. The Dodgers would have the No. 2 seed.

Magic Numbers

  • The Phillies’ magic number to clinch a postseason berth is 13.
  • The Phillies’ magic number to clinch the National League East is 14.
  • The Phillies’ magic number to clinch a bye to the Division Series is 18.

NL East Scenarios

Here’s what the Mets and Braves need to do to catch the Phillies in the NL East.

If the Phillies go …The Mets need to go … The Braves need to go …
10-1017-3*18-2
9-1116-4*17-3
8-1215-5*16-4
7-1314-6*15-5
*Scenario assumes Mets win season series vs. Phillies and get first tiebreaker.

The earliest possible NL East clinch date for the Phillies is Sept. 15 vs. Mets.

Bye Scenarios

Here’s what the Brewers need to do to catch the Phillies to get a first-round bye.

If the Phillies go … The Brewers need to go …
12-815-5*
11-914-6*
10-1013-7*
9-1112-8*
8-1211-9*
*Scenario assumes Brewers sweep Phillies in remaining three-game set to tie the season series and win the second tiebreaker. The Brewers have a 30-19 record against NL Central opponents with three games remaining against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Phillies have a 25-16 record against the NL East with 11 games remaining against the Marlins, Mets and Nationals.

The earliest possible clinch date for a first-round bye for the Phillies is Sept. 18 vs. Brewers.

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  8. ‘I Don’t Think It’s Going To Stick’: Phillies Pitchers React To Six-Inning Minimum Rule Being Considered
  9. Nick Castellanos Aiming To Become First Phillie Since 2007 To Start 162 Games
  10. Phillies 2024 Giveaway Schedule

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