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Сентябрь
2024

Harris, Trump in close races in key swing states: Polling

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(The Hill) -- Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are locked in close races with no clear leader emerging in the three battleground states of Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania, according to CNN's latest polling.

The surveys, published Wednesday, show Harris leading Trump by 1 point among likely voters in Georgia (48 percent to 47 percent) and Nevada (48 percent to 47 percent). The candidates are tied among likely voters, at 47 percent, in Pennsylvania.

The vice president's advantage in Georgia and Nevada are not statistically significant, with margins of error up to 4.9 percentage points.

Harris, meanwhile, leads in Wisconsin by 6 points (50 percent to 44 percent) and in Michigan by 5 points (48 percent to 43 percent), while Trump pulls off a 5-point advantage over Harris in Arizona (49 percent to 44 percent), according to the polls.

President Joe Biden carried all six states in 2020, but Georgia and Pennsylvania will prove critical for either candidate in the 2024 cycle. In those states, among likely voters who say they have already picked a candidate, 11 percent in the Peach State say they might change their minds, while 15 percent say the same in the Keystone State.

Harris has enjoyed a polling boost since replacing Biden atop the Democratic ticket. In the national polling average from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), she leads Trump by 4 points — 49.4 percent to 45.4 percent.

Harris’s polling average in the three battleground states of Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania show similar results to CNN’s latest polling. In each state, her lead falls short of a full percentage point.

The Democratic nominee's strongest advantage, according to the DDHQ average, is in Wisconsin, where she leads by 3.4 points. In Michigan, she's ahead by an average of 1.6 percentage points. She is virtually tied with her GOP rival in the Arizona polling average, the survey shows.

The CNN polls, conducted between Aug. 23-29, include 682 registered voters in Arizona, 617 registered voters in Georgia, 708 registered voters in Michigan, 626 registered voters in Nevada, 789 registered voters in Pennsylvania and 976 registered voters in Wisconsin. The margin of error for each poll fell between 4.5 and 4.9 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.