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2024

Harris almost doubles Biden's lead on Trump in New York: Poll

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Vice President Harris has nearly doubled President Biden’s lead over former President Trump in New York since launching her campaign last month, according to a new poll.

The new Siena College poll found Harris has a 14-point lead over the former president with 53 percent of support among New York voters, while Trump trails with 39 percent of support from his home state. Harris’s lead is up from Biden’s 8-point margin over Trump when the poll was taken in late June.

The poll also showed Harris with a lead over the former president in a six-way race including third-party and independent candidates. Harris received 49 percent of support, Trump received 39 percent and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 7 percent.

The poll additionally found Harris has support from 86 percent of New York Democrats, which is up from the 75 percent who supported Biden in June. The poll also found Harris leads among Black voters with 81 percent of support, compared to Trump’s 11 percent of support.

“The landscape has changed since the last Siena College poll. The change at the top of the Democratic ticket has had a noticeable, while not dramatic, effect on the horserace,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement.

The poll also found that Harris has expanded the gender gap in support since replacing Biden at the top of the ticket, now leading Trump by 34 percentage points among women in New York. In comparison, Biden had an 18-point lead over Trump among women in June.

Greenberg noted it was not young voters who helped boost Harris’s support.

“Interestingly, it wasn’t young voters that moved the needle. Among voters under 35, Harris leads 49-34%, down a little from the 51-32% lead Biden had in June. Harris’ big pickup was among voters 35-54, who favor her 54-40%, after backing Trump 44-41% over Biden in June,” he said.

The poll was conducted from July 28 to Aug. 1 among 1,199 likely voters in New York. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.