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2024

Fresh polling shows Harris momentum is real

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Vice President Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump in a new Civiqs poll for Daily Kos, 49% to 45%, with an increasing number of voters expressing confidence that Harris can defeat Trump compared to President Joe Biden. Harris has consolidated support among traditional Democratic voters, while Trump is just as troubling as ever and his running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, remains a drag on the GOP ticket.

Despite these changing trends, more voters still believe that Trump will win. 

In June’s survey, Biden and Trump were locked in at 45% each. The 4-point gain for Harris this month signals an almost palpable sense of relief among voters. 

Biden gets high approval for ending his bid: 55% of respondents say they are “glad that Biden left the race,” including 59% of independents, as well as 67% of young voters, 50% of Black voters, and 59% of Hispanic voters. 

The flip side of the question is whether Harris has a better chance than Biden to beat Trump, and 76% of Democrats say she does, along with 46% of independents. Again, Black (60%), Hispanic (58%), and young (62%) voters lead in saying Harris can get the job done.